As Bitcoin gradually approaches the next halving event, subtle changes in market structure and participant behavior reveal a complex trading landscape. This report delves into how the significant buying power of ETFs reshapes traditional expectations about the supply squeeze effect brought by halving, and the key role of Long-Term Holders (LTH) in the current market cycle. By comprehensively analyzing historical data, market trends, and investor behavior, this article provides valuable insights for traders, aiming to help them navigate the unique environment of the Bitcoin market and optimize their trading strategies. As the market moves toward the crucial halving point, understanding these dynamics becomes key to grasping the future market direction.