Reflecting on this Bull Market cycle: Which stage are we in currently?

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Abstract generation in progress

Author: AlΞx Wacy, encryption researcher

Compiled by Felix, PANews

In previous Bull Markets, not all AltCoins will experience big pumps at the same time. Here, big pump refers to a rise of 300-700% or even higher, not just a 10-30% increase. These rotational big pumps form the entire Bull Market cycle.

反思本轮牛市周期:当前处于哪个阶段?

Funds are constantly flowing between different Tokens, which is why the alt season lasts not just for a week, but for several months. Previous fund flow situations are as follows:

BTC > ETH > High Market Cap Token > Low Market Cap Token > BTC......

But now this model is outdated, and the current capital flow cycle is more subtle. Each stage will be discussed in detail below.

The first stage

BTC continues to lead as always. Market giants lead the encryption trend, but once BTC stops pumping (or the pump slows down), other Tokens will take over.

反思本轮牛市周期:当前处于哪个阶段?

Phase Two

SOL, as a standout in this cycle's alts, is starting to pump. Plus, some major alts may follow suit, but with weaker performance (currently at this stage).

反思本轮牛市周期:当前处于哪个阶段?

Phase Three

The following tokens may take over SOL pump:

  • Mainstream memecoins: DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, WIF, BONK, POPCAT
  • Mainstream altcoins: RENDER, SUI, APT, LTC, etc.

Some Tokens may perform poorly or have a late breakout.

反思本轮牛市周期:当前处于哪个阶段?

Phase 4

The most popular narratives leading this stage are Memecoins, AI, RWA, and some combinations of these narratives, such as AI memes and AI x DEP.

Some narratives may be skipped, and players may find themselves in a predicament. Therefore, it is a rational choice.

Stage Five

At this stage, low Market CapToken starts to pump quickly, even once every hour. This stage is the best trading opportunity for stable memecoins and projects with good fundamentals. Choose the best performing Token, as big pump big dump situations often occur in the market.

Phase Six

Funds are flowing back into BTC. As the market matures, these cycles become increasingly difficult to predict. Don't waste this Bull Market, you still have time to make life-changing money in the next 5-9 months.

反思本轮牛市周期:当前处于哪个阶段?

But please remember one important thing, you can accumulate wealth in two ways:

  • Long-term holding can appreciate Token
  • Use pump to trade with tokens faster

From a historical perspective, less than 1% of those who attempt the second method are able to achieve long-term success.

Therefore, most of your funds should still be held in long-term positions. If you want to seize every big pump opportunity, you should use idle funds (small positions).

Related reading: Why did this bull run start with Memecoin? A brief discussion of the new logic of asset zone rotation

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