Let’s just talk about the current crowd holding positions,
At present, the recent period of 22000~24000 is about two weeks.
If the early spot dead take is ruled out without discussion,
The recent market situation can be roughly divided into the following mentalities to talk about:
A. A while ago, about 15,000~18,000 people entered the market,
These people ''did not clear their positions'' during the rising process, and the long-term profits are now around 30-50% without leverage.
B. About 15,000 to 18,000 people entered the market a while ago,
These people "cleared their positions without shorting" during the rising process, and the profit was about 10-30% if the pie was not leveraged.
C. About 15,000 to 18,000 people entered the market a while ago,
These people cleared their positions and backhanded short positions during the rise, or waited and watched with short positions and watched the rise too much, but did not dare to enter the market and had no profit.
D. People who have been short-selling or have lost money for many other reasons.
Because after experiencing $69,000 in November 2021 to 2022
In November, the price of more than 15,000 dollars fell in a big cycle for about a year,
For the mentality of people who are biased towards the AB situation, the bottom of the big pie rose by about 50%,
I think most people will have a more reserved attitude towards the continued rise of the market.
In the current relatively horizontal stage,
Many people may reduce their positions, clear their positions, and backhand short positions.
For the CD crowd, there is no profit or even loss in a large number of rises.
In terms of mentality, there may be more of a compensatory mentality,
Because there is no holding position or no buying in 15000~18000,
Basically, when it reaches the range of 22000~24000, it is less likely to choose to go long.
The mood of continuing to wait and see or shorting can more make up for the regret of not buying at 15,000~18,000.
Based on the above ideas, in the period of 22000~24000,
I think that in the mentality and emotion of most retail investors,
It will be more inclined to reduce short positions or short positions.
When most people judge the market,
The recent operations will inevitably be influenced by emotions,
Posting this article is also to remind friends who have similar situations,
You can see if you are affected by emotions by reading this article.
whether rising or falling,
In previous years, the market was often unilateral,
The current stage of sideways,
For most retail investors, it may just be the beginning of the torment.
a new Year,
Hope you all get rich! [Show teeth][Show teeth]
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