With the arrival of May, the Crypto Assets market is once again facing a traditional question: Should investors follow the "sell in May, then leave" trading strategy?

Historically, Bitcoin has returned an average of 7.66% over the past five months, but the median return is -3.17%, a difference that raises questions about whether this is a sign of retreat or the beginning of an opportunity.

Market Analysis & Forecast

Crypto SunMoon, a well-known analyst in South Korea, is optimistic that if the Bitcoin maintains the Bull Market trend, the $59,000 realized price for short-term holders will become a significant support point. This indicator reflects the average purchase cost of short-term market participants over the past six months, which could be a favorable buying opportunity if this price is tested and Bitcoin maintains its rising momentum.

Bitcoin short-term holders realized price | Source: CryptoQuant

Lark Davis also expressed a bullish view, noting that the upcoming supply shock could change the landscape of the Crypto Assets market. Bitcoin production Halving led to a drop in Mining production to 4.5 BTC per day, while markets such as the United States, Hong Kong and Australia introduced Spot Bitcoin ETF, surging demand and reducing supply.

Davis stressed: "Global institutions are scrambling to enter the Bitcoin market. The supply of Bitcoin on all trading platforms has reached an ATL low, and the OTC Trading market is drying up. I think this round of Bull Market will be much crazier than you might expect. ”

Bitcoin ETF Historical Holdings | Source: CryptoQuant

In addition, Abra CEO Bill Barhydt predicts that the total market capitalization of the global Crypto Assets market could reach $50 trillion over the next decade, a rise that could revolutionize credit markets, especially in developing countries.

"I think the global investment community's focus on Crypto Assets like Bitcoin, Solana and Ethereum is just beginning," Barhydt said. This will drive the total market capitalization of the Crypto Assets market to rise from $2.5 trillion today to $50 trillion over the next 10 years, or even sooner. ”

Investment Decisions

Judging by the above analysts' opinions, whether to sell or leave the market in May is not an easy decision. Investors need to make trade-offs between historical trends, current market conditions, and future forecasts. Against the backdrop of experts generally bullish on continued upward pump and expectations of significant market developments, May may be more long an excellent time for investors to consider buying strategically rather than selling.