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The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate unchanged in January is 95.2%.
【The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the Interest Rate unchanged in January is 95.2%】 According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the Interest Rate unchanged in January is 95.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.8%. The probability of maintaining the current Interest Rate unchanged until March is 60.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 37.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.7%.