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Analysis: If Trump implements his established policies, there may be a significant divergence in monetary policy between the US and Europe.
On November 25th, the market expects the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve to be significantly different from the European Central Bank next year, as higher economic growth and inflation expectations in the United States will exacerbate the differences between the two major economies. Market pricing shows that by the end of next year, the Fed's rate cut will be only half of the European Central Bank, which is facing the problem of weak economic growth and inflation below target. Jennifer McKeown, Chief Global Economist at Capital Economics, said, 'We expect the Fed to adopt a cautious stance due to the rising inflation risks, while the European Central Bank will respond strongly to the economic weakness, leading to a divergence in the easing cycles of the two.' (FXStreet)