The current mainstream CEX long liquidation intensity is significantly higher than short liquidation. If Bitcoin falls below $62,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.819 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks through $66,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.005 billion.
According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November is 39.7%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 60.3%.