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According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in August is 91.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.8%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 27.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 66.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 6.1%.