Still in HK, after lunch turned on the computer to see, the short-term rapid pullback is coming as scheduled, according to the current time node, I personally think that the spot can be bought small falls, big falls can be bought, spot positions can be adjusted to some altcoins, the next 10 days should be a wave of altcoins rise in a small spring, but remember not to fill the position, all positions should be controlled at about 7 percent.

The probability of losing money in this spot investment strategy is relatively low, because it can be judged that it belongs to the early part of the bull market, as long as these coins are your research attention, and the market value is within the top 150, most of them can rise by 20% to 30% in the next year.
I didn't have time yesterday, so I wanted to sort out the pattern of ups and downs in April, and I'm sure everyone is also concerned about this forecast. According to the data analysis of the past period, BTC rose by 16.6% in March, staying above 7w, while it rose by 43.57% in February, 0.7% in January, 12.09% in December last year, and 8.9% in November last year. 28.47% in October last year, seven consecutive upward trends began in September last year, and with the arrival of the halving market, the trend in April is particularly important.

According to historical statistics, the trend of BTC over the past 10 years is as follows
13 years: up 50.01%
14 years: -1.6%
15 years: -3.46%
16 years: up 7.27%
17 years: up 32.71%
18 years: up 33.43%
19 years: up 34.36%
20 years: up 34.26%
21 years: -1.98%
22 years: -17.3%
23 years: up 2.81%
Looking at the laws of history, it is estimated that you can't see anything, and if you have to guess the rise and fall in April, it is no different from the god of jumping.

Then why is it judged that the retracement will fall in the first two days? because of the ETH/BTC indicator chart. This indicator has been dynamically explained a long time ago, and when you have been playing for a long time, you can receive different information, or you can also understand the indicator, combined with the time period of the large market, it is also possible to judge with a high probability.

Everyone's situation is different, I have been slowly cashing out part of the bottom position at the end of February and early March, and I have also begun to lay out some altcoins, including investing about 1k-2k U to play those hot meme coins.

Many friends want to eat a wave of meat in the bull market, but in fact, it is not so simple, different amounts of funds and different income expectations, and the tracks they play are different. After reviewing the market in March, I always feel that all kinds of funds are very obscene, and it seems that everyone is waiting for some news, and they are waiting to see what sectors will rotate and want to do an ambush. But before the rotation, in fact, no one knows which direction the market will choose next.

At one time, it is MEME, at one time it is AI, and at one time it is the old public chain, which is a stir-fry concept, which is always incomprehensible. But these are all small funds, and Gou Zhuang is testing the outlet. Why do they want to pull the plate, in fact, the logic is very simple, because if they don't pull the plate, then the users of their coin will be sucked away by the heat of other coins.

In the currency circle, don't have much faith except for BTC, the fate between you and many currencies is, to put it bluntly, a transaction, and someone is staring at it. Let's think about it from another angle, if you are zhuang, when everyone's consensus on BTC entering a bull market is formed, how will you manage this game?

BTC's monthly line of 6 consecutive yangs has already stirred up the heat, and the attention and capital inflow of the entire market have increased rapidly. I must be a dog Zhuang to make money, otherwise why bet so many chips? It is difficult for me to control my peers in other sectors, but we can keep up with the leaders of the same track, and we will follow as soon as the capital arrives at the concept. So the leeks will see which track leader skyrockets, the same plate is basically pulled together, if the leader pulls 20 points, you don't pull 5 points, the leeks will be disappointed, they will think that this coin has no main force, or Zhuang is not quietly shipping, then since the leeks are unwilling to buy or stop loss selling, you have no news at all, no indicator line at all, how to buy leeks, it is impossible to be cut by you in vain.

So at this stage, many currencies that expect to have a big harvest in the bull market have used a lot of costs to build positions and build momentum, and it is impossible to get you off so quickly. Keep you with profits, confuse you with increases. But they don't dare to pull too much, if they pull too much, it won't work, if the other plates fall, the leeks may still have to be sold to pick up other plates, everyone wants to make more. I also want to make a difference back and forth.
But if you don't come back, it's for nothing. To put it simply, what you hold is the user of what coin, you will be disgusted if you lose money, you will like it if you make money, and you will float if you make too much money at once, so the psychological techniques need to be in place. Trust me, they probably know yourself better than you do. The current big data system can be said to be quite advanced in the psychological analysis of high-net-worth users.

If you nag like this, maybe you will be able to understand the linkage in the market, if you fall, I will fall, and if you rise, I will rise a little. Some concept coins have been falling since the beginning of the line, not hesitating to be scolded by the public, eating extremely obscene, this kind of currency is actually a lot, a few years of play, domestic projects, Sun Mo's big flicker, the first launch of some platforms, all basically belong to this faction. Now it's basically harvesting the new leeks.

To sum up, the spot can still be bought slowly for a period of time in the future, and I dare not say the high yield, but when it falls, I will buy it, and the income will definitely be there.

Another friend asked me, why can you predict the drawdown and not short? Because I basically don't touch the contract, the second is now the general trend is upward, if you do those short-term contrarian small orders, disturb the mind, and the mind is too stupid to turn around, think about it or forget it.

The things to be done have been done, and I will leave for the return trip later, and I will go back to my hometown tomorrow to worship my grandfather, and I will continue to talk about it in the future