Since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, it attracted over 100 million users in just two months. By May 2024, ChatGPT’s monthly revenue had reached an astonishing $20.3 million, and OpenAI quickly released iterative versions such as GPT-4 and GPT-4o. This rapid pace has prompted traditional tech giants to recognize the importance of cutting-edge AI models like LLMs. Companies like Google released the large language model PaLM2, Meta launched Llama3, and Chinese companies introduced models like Ernie Bot and Zhipu Qingyan, highlighting AI as a crucial battleground.
The race among tech giants has not only accelerated the development of commercial applications but also spurred open-source AI research. The 2024 AI Index report shows that the number of AI-related projects on GitHub skyrocketed from 845 in 2011 to about 1.8 million by 2023, with a 59.3% year-over-year increase in 2023, reflecting the global developer community’s enthusiasm for AI research.
This enthusiasm for AI technology is directly mirrored in the investment market, which has seen explosive growth in the second quarter of 2024. There were 16 AI-related investments exceeding $150 million globally, double that of the first quarter. Total AI startup funding soared to $24 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. Notably, Elon Musk’s xAI raised $6 billion, with a valuation of $24 billion, making it the second-highest valued AI startup after OpenAI.
Top 10 AI sector financings in Q2 2024, Source: Yiou, https://www.iyiou.com/data/202407171072366
AI’s rapid development is reshaping the tech landscape at an unprecedented pace. From fierce competition among tech giants to the booming open-source community, and the capital market’s fervor for AI concepts, projects are emerging continuously, investment amounts are hitting new highs, and valuations are climbing in step. Overall, the AI market is in a golden age of rapid growth, with major advancements in language processing driven by large language models and retrieval-augmented generation technologies. However, challenges remain in translating these technological advances into real products, such as model output uncertainty, the risk of generating inaccurate information (hallucinations), and issues with model transparency—especially critical in high-reliability applications.
In this context, we have begun researching AI Agents, which emphasize problem-solving and interaction with real-world environments. This shift marks the evolution of AI from pure language models to intelligent systems capable of truly understanding, learning, and solving real-world problems. We see promise in AI Agents, as they are gradually bridging the gap between AI technology and practical problem-solving. As AI evolves to reshape productivity frameworks, Web3 is reconstructing the production relations of the digital economy. When the three pillars of AI—data, models, and computing power—merge with Web3’s core principles of decentralization, token economies, and smart contracts, we foresee the birth of a series of innovative applications. In this promising intersection, AI Agents, with their ability to autonomously execute tasks, show immense potential for large-scale applications. Therefore, we are delving into the diverse applications of AI Agents in Web3, from Web3 infrastructure, middleware, and application layers to data and model marketplaces, aiming to identify and assess the most promising project types and application scenarios to deepen our understanding of AI-Web3 integration.
Basic introduction
Before introducing AI Agents, to help readers better understand the difference between their definition and traditional models, let’s use a real-world scenario as an example: Suppose you are planning a trip. A traditional large language model provides destination information and travel suggestions. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) technology can offer richer, more specific destination content. In contrast, an AI Agent acts like Jarvis from the Iron Man movies—it understands your needs, actively searches for flights and hotels based on your request, makes reservations, and adds the itinerary to your calendar.
In the industry, AI Agents are generally defined as intelligent systems capable of perceiving the environment and taking appropriate actions by gathering environmental information through sensors, processing it, and affecting the environment through actuators (Stuart Russell & Peter Norvig, 2020). We view an AI Agent as an assistant that integrates LLM (Large Language Models), RAG, memory, task planning, and tool usage. It not only provides information but also plans, breaks down tasks, and actually executes them.
Based on this definition and characteristics, we can see that AI Agents have already integrated into our daily lives and are applied in various scenarios. For example, AlphaGo, Siri, and Tesla’s Level 5 and above autonomous driving can all be considered examples of AI Agents. The common trait among these systems is their ability to perceive external user inputs and make decisions that affect the real world based on those inputs.
To clarify concepts using ChatGPT as an example, it is important to distinguish that Transformer is the technical architecture that forms the foundation of AI models, while GPT refers to the series of models developed based on this architecture. GPT-1, GPT-4, and GPT-4o represent different stages of model development. ChatGPT, as an evolution based on the GPT model, can be considered an AI Agent.
Classification Overview
Currently, there is no unified classification standard for AI Agents in the market. By tagging 204 AI Agent projects across Web2 and Web3 markets based on their prominent features, we created both primary and secondary classifications. The primary classifications include infrastructure, content generation, and user interaction, which are then further divided based on actual use cases:
According to our research, the development of AI Agents in the traditional Web2 internet shows a clear concentration in specific sectors. About two-thirds of the projects are focused on infrastructure, particularly in B2B services and developer tools. We analyzed this phenomenon and identified several key factors:
Impact of Technology Maturity: The dominance of infrastructure projects is largely due to the maturity of the underlying technologies. These projects are often built on well-established technologies and frameworks, reducing the difficulty and risk of development. They serve as the “shovels” in the AI field, providing a solid foundation for AI Agent development and application.
Market Demand: Another key factor is market demand. Compared to the consumer market, the enterprise market has a more urgent need for AI technology, especially for solutions aimed at improving operational efficiency and reducing costs. For developers, the stable cash flow from enterprise customers makes it easier to develop subsequent projects.
Application Limitations: At the same time, we noticed that content generation AI has limited application scenarios in the B2B market. Due to the instability of its output, businesses tend to prefer applications that reliably boost productivity, which is why content generation AI occupies a smaller portion of the project landscape.
This trend reflects the practical considerations of technology maturity, market demand, and application scenarios. As AI technology continues to advance and market demands become clearer, we expect this landscape to shift, but infrastructure will likely remain a cornerstone of AI Agent development.
Compilation of Web2’s AI Agent leading projects, source: ArkStream project database
We analyzed some of the leading AI Agent projects in the Web2 market, sourced from the ArkStream project database. Using Character AI, Perplexity AI, and Midjourney as examples, we delve into their details.
Character AI:
Perplexity AI:
Midjourney:
After experiencing several Web2 AI Agents, we observed a common product iteration path: from initially focusing on single, specific tasks to later expanding their capabilities to handle more complex, multi-task scenarios. This trend highlights the potential of AI Agents in improving efficiency and innovation, indicating that they will play a more critical role in the future. Based on preliminary statistics of 125 AI Agent projects in Web2, we found that most projects are concentrated in content generation (e.g., Jasper AI), developer tools (e.g., Replit), and B2B services (e.g., Cresta), the largest category. This finding was contrary to our expectations, as we initially predicted that with the increasing maturity of AI model technology, the consumer market (C-end) would experience an explosive growth of AI Agents. However, after further analysis, we realized that the commercialization of consumer AI Agents is much more challenging and complex than expected.
Take Character.AI as an example. On one hand, Character.AI has some of the best traffic performance. However, due to its singular business model—relying on a $9.9 USD subscription fee—it struggled with limited subscription revenue and high inference costs for heavy users, eventually leading to its acquisition by Google due to difficulties in monetizing traffic and maintaining cash flow. This case shows that even with excellent traffic and funding, C-end AI Agent applications face significant commercialization challenges. Most products have not yet reached the standard where they can replace or effectively assist humans, resulting in low user willingness to pay. In our research, we found that many startups encounter similar problems as Character.AI, indicating that the development of consumer AI Agents is not smooth and requires deeper exploration of technical maturity, product value, and business model innovation to unlock their potential in the C-end market.
By counting the valuations of most AI Agent projects, compared with the valuations of ceiling projects such as OpenAI and xAI, there is still room for close to 10-50 times.It is undeniable that the ceiling of C-side Agent application is still high enough, proving that it is still a good track. However, based on the above analysis, we believe that compared with the C-side, the B-side market may be the final destination of AI Agent. By building a platform, enterprises integrate AI Agent into management software such as vertical fields, CRM, and office OA. This not only improves operational efficiency for enterprises, but also provides AI Agent with a broader application space. Therefore, we have reason to believe that B-side services will be the main direction of the short-term development of AI Agents in the Web2 traditional Internet.
Project overview
As analyzed earlier, even AI Agent applications with top-tier funding and good user traffic face difficulties in commercialization. Next, we will analyze the current development of AI Agent projects in Web3. By evaluating a series of representative projects—their technical innovations, market performance, user feedback, and growth potential—we aim to uncover insightful suggestions. The chart below shows several representative projects that have already issued tokens and hold a relatively high market value:
Compilation of Web2’s AI Agent leading projects, source: ArkStream project database
According to our statistics on the Web3 AI Agent market, the types of projects being developed also show a clear concentration in specific sectors. Most projects fall under infrastructure, with fewer content generation projects. Many of these projects aim to leverage user-provided distributed data and computing power to meet the model training needs of the project owners or to create all-in-one platforms that integrate various AI Agent services and tools. From developer tools to front-end interaction applications and generative applications, most traditional AI Agent industries are currently limited to open-source parameter adjustments or building applications using existing models. This method has not yet generated significant network effects for enterprises or individual users.
We believe that this phenomenon at this stage may be driven by the following factors:
Market and Technology Mismatch: The combination of Web3 and AI Agents does not currently show a significant advantage over traditional markets. The true advantage lies in improving production relationships by optimizing resources and collaboration through decentralization. This may cause interaction and generative applications to struggle to compete with traditional competitors with stronger technical and financial resources.
Application Scenario Limitations: In the Web3 environment, there may not be as much demand for generating images, videos, or text content. Instead, Web3’s decentralized and distributed features are more often used to reduce costs and improve efficiency within the traditional AI field, rather than to expand into new application scenarios.
The root cause of this phenomenon may lie in the current development state of the AI industry and its future direction. AI technology is still in its early stages, akin to the early days of the industrial revolution when steam engines were replaced by electric motors. It has not yet reached the electrification stage of widespread application.
We believe that the future of AI will likely follow a similar path. General models will gradually become standardized, while fine-tuned models will see diversified development. AI applications will be widely dispersed across enterprises and individual users, with the focus shifting to interconnection and interaction between models. This trend aligns closely with Web3’s principles, as Web3 is known for its composability and permissionless nature, which fits well with the idea of decentralized fine-tuning of models. Developers will have greater freedom to combine and adjust various models. Additionally, decentralization offers unique advantages in areas such as data privacy protection and computing resource allocation for model training.
With technological advancements, especially the emergence of innovations like LoRA (Low-Rank Adaptation), the cost and technical barriers for model fine-tuning have been significantly lowered. This makes it easier to develop public models for specific scenarios or to meet users’ personalized needs. AI Agent projects within Web3 can fully leverage these advancements to explore novel training methods, innovative incentive mechanisms, and new models of model sharing and collaboration, which are often difficult to achieve in traditional centralized systems.
Moreover, the concentration of Web3 projects on model training reflects strategic considerations of its importance within the entire AI ecosystem. Thus, the focus of Web3 AI Agent projects on model training is a natural convergence of technology trends, market demand, and Web3 industry advantages. Next, we will provide examples of model training projects in both Web2 and Web3 industries and make comparisons.
Humans.ai
FLock.io
These are examples of model training projects within the Web3 AI Agent space, but similar platforms also exist in Web2, such as Predibase.
Predibase
For beginners, the platform’s one-click automation simplifies the model-building and training process, automatically handling complex tasks. For experienced users, it provides deeper customization options, including access to and adjustment of more advanced parameters. When comparing traditional AI model training platforms with Web3 AI projects, while their overall frameworks and logic may be similar, we found significant differences in their technical architecture and business models.
These differences have become bottlenecks in the traditional AI industry. Due to the nature of the internet, these issues are difficult to solve efficiently. At the same time, this presents both opportunities and challenges for Web3, where projects that can solve these problems first will likely become pioneers in the industry.
After discussing AI Agent projects focused on model training, we now expand our view to other types of AI Agent projects in the Web3 industry. These projects, while not exclusively focused on model training, demonstrate distinctive performance in terms of funding, token valuation, and market presence. Below are some representative and influential AI Agent projects in their respective fields:
Myshell
Delysium
Sleepless AI
In the Web3 industry, AI Agent projects cover multiple directions including public chains, data management, privacy protection, social networks, platform services, and computing power. In terms of token market value, the total token market value of AI Agent projects has reached nearly $3.8 billion, while the total market value of the entire AI track is close to $16.2 billion. AI Agent projects account for about 23% of the market value in the AI track.
Although there are only about a dozen AI Agent projects, which seems relatively few compared to the entire AI track, their market valuation accounts for nearly a quarter. This market value proportion in the AI track once again validates our belief that this sub-track has great growth potential.
After our analysis, we raised a core question: What characteristics do Agent projects need to attract excellent financing and be listed on top exchanges? To answer this question, we explored successful projects in the Agent industry, such as Fetch.ai, Olas Network, SingularityNET, and Myshell.
We found that these projects share some significant features: they all belong to the platform aggregation category within the infrastructure class. They build a bridge, connecting users who need Agents on one end (both B2B and B2C), and developers and validators responsible for model debugging and training on the other end. Regardless of the application level, they have all established a complete ecological closed loop.
We noticed that whether their products are on-chain or off-chain related doesn’t seem to be the most crucial factor. This leads us to a preliminary conclusion: in the Web3 domain, the logic of focusing on practical applications in Web2 may not fully apply. For leading AI Agent products in Web3, building a complete ecosystem and providing diverse functionalities might be more critical than the quality and performance of a single product. In other words, a project’s success depends not only on what it offers but more on how it integrates resources, promotes collaboration, and creates network effects within the ecosystem. This ability to build ecosystems might be a key factor for AI Agent projects to stand out in the Web3 track.
The correct integration method for AI Agent projects in Web3 is not to focus on the deep development of a single application, but to adopt an inclusive model. This approach involves migrating and integrating diverse product frameworks and types from the Web2 era into the Web3 environment to build a self-cycling ecosystem. This point can also be seen in OpenAI’s strategic shift, as they chose to launch an application platform this year rather than just updating their model.
In summary, we believe that the AI Agent project should focus on the following aspects:
After summarizing these three aspects, we also provide some forward-looking suggestions for project teams with different focus directions: one for non-AI core application products, and another for native projects focused on the AI Agent track.
For non-AI core application products:
Maintain a long-term perspective, focus on their core products while integrating AI technology, and wait for the right opportunity in line with the times. In the current technological and market trends, we believe that using AI as a traffic medium to attract users and enhance product competitiveness has become an important means of competitiveness. Although the actual long-term contribution of AI technology to project development remains a question mark, we believe this provides a valuable window for early adopters of AI technology. Of course, the premise is that they already have a very solid product.
In the long run, if AI technology achieves new breakthroughs in the future, those projects that have already integrated AI will be able to iterate their products more quickly, thus seizing opportunities and becoming industry leaders. This is similar to how live streaming e-commerce gradually replaced offline sales as a new traffic outlet on social media platforms in recent years. At that time, those merchants with solid products who chose to follow the new trend and try live streaming e-commerce immediately stood out with the advantage of early entry when live streaming e-commerce truly exploded.
We believe that amid market uncertainty, for non-AI core application products, considering the timely introduction of AI Agents may be a strategic decision. It can not only increase the product’s market exposure at present but also bring new growth points for the product in the continuous development of AI technology.
For native projects focused on AI Agents:
Balancing technological innovation and market demand is key to success. In native AI Agent projects, project teams need to look towards market trends, not just technology development. Currently, some Web3-integrated Agent projects in the market may be overly focused on developing in a single technical direction, or have constructed a grand vision, but product development has not kept up. Both of these extremes are not conducive to the long-term development of the project.
Therefore, we suggest that project teams, while ensuring product quality, should also pay attention to market dynamics, and realize that the AI application logic in the traditional internet industry may not apply to Web3. Instead, they need to learn from those projects that have already achieved results in the Web3 market. Focus on the labels they have, such as model training and platform aggregation core functions mentioned in the article, as well as the narratives they create, such as AI modularization and multi-Agent collaboration. Exploring compelling narratives may become the key for projects to achieve breakthroughs in the market.
Conclusion
Whether it is a non-AI core product or a native AI Agent project, the most critical thing is to find the right timing and technical path to ensure that it remains competitive and innovative in the ever-changing market. On the basis of maintaining product quality, project parties should observe market trends, learn from successful cases, and at the same time innovate to achieve sustainable development in the market.
At the end of the article, we analyze the Web3 AI Agent track from multiple angles:
To sum up, we are optimistic about the AI Agent track. We have reason to believe that multiple projects with valuations exceeding $1 billion will emerge in this track. Through horizontal comparison, the narrative of AI Agent is sufficiently compelling and the market space is large enough. The current market valuations are generally low. Considering the rapid development of AI technology, the growth of market demand, capital investment and the innovation potential of companies in the track, in the future, as technology matures and market acceptance increases, this track is expected to see multiple projects with valuations over $1 billion emerge.
This article is reproduced from [ArkStream Capital], the original title is “ArkStream Capital Track Research Report: Can AI Agent be a life-saving straw for Web3+AI?” If you have any objections to the reprint, please contact Gate Learn Team, the team will handle it as soon as possible according to relevant procedures.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article represent only the author’s personal views and do not constitute any investment advice.
Other language versions of the article are translated by the Gate Learn team, not mentioned in Gate.io, the translated article may not be reproduced, distributed or plagiarized.
Since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, it attracted over 100 million users in just two months. By May 2024, ChatGPT’s monthly revenue had reached an astonishing $20.3 million, and OpenAI quickly released iterative versions such as GPT-4 and GPT-4o. This rapid pace has prompted traditional tech giants to recognize the importance of cutting-edge AI models like LLMs. Companies like Google released the large language model PaLM2, Meta launched Llama3, and Chinese companies introduced models like Ernie Bot and Zhipu Qingyan, highlighting AI as a crucial battleground.
The race among tech giants has not only accelerated the development of commercial applications but also spurred open-source AI research. The 2024 AI Index report shows that the number of AI-related projects on GitHub skyrocketed from 845 in 2011 to about 1.8 million by 2023, with a 59.3% year-over-year increase in 2023, reflecting the global developer community’s enthusiasm for AI research.
This enthusiasm for AI technology is directly mirrored in the investment market, which has seen explosive growth in the second quarter of 2024. There were 16 AI-related investments exceeding $150 million globally, double that of the first quarter. Total AI startup funding soared to $24 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. Notably, Elon Musk’s xAI raised $6 billion, with a valuation of $24 billion, making it the second-highest valued AI startup after OpenAI.
Top 10 AI sector financings in Q2 2024, Source: Yiou, https://www.iyiou.com/data/202407171072366
AI’s rapid development is reshaping the tech landscape at an unprecedented pace. From fierce competition among tech giants to the booming open-source community, and the capital market’s fervor for AI concepts, projects are emerging continuously, investment amounts are hitting new highs, and valuations are climbing in step. Overall, the AI market is in a golden age of rapid growth, with major advancements in language processing driven by large language models and retrieval-augmented generation technologies. However, challenges remain in translating these technological advances into real products, such as model output uncertainty, the risk of generating inaccurate information (hallucinations), and issues with model transparency—especially critical in high-reliability applications.
In this context, we have begun researching AI Agents, which emphasize problem-solving and interaction with real-world environments. This shift marks the evolution of AI from pure language models to intelligent systems capable of truly understanding, learning, and solving real-world problems. We see promise in AI Agents, as they are gradually bridging the gap between AI technology and practical problem-solving. As AI evolves to reshape productivity frameworks, Web3 is reconstructing the production relations of the digital economy. When the three pillars of AI—data, models, and computing power—merge with Web3’s core principles of decentralization, token economies, and smart contracts, we foresee the birth of a series of innovative applications. In this promising intersection, AI Agents, with their ability to autonomously execute tasks, show immense potential for large-scale applications. Therefore, we are delving into the diverse applications of AI Agents in Web3, from Web3 infrastructure, middleware, and application layers to data and model marketplaces, aiming to identify and assess the most promising project types and application scenarios to deepen our understanding of AI-Web3 integration.
Basic introduction
Before introducing AI Agents, to help readers better understand the difference between their definition and traditional models, let’s use a real-world scenario as an example: Suppose you are planning a trip. A traditional large language model provides destination information and travel suggestions. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) technology can offer richer, more specific destination content. In contrast, an AI Agent acts like Jarvis from the Iron Man movies—it understands your needs, actively searches for flights and hotels based on your request, makes reservations, and adds the itinerary to your calendar.
In the industry, AI Agents are generally defined as intelligent systems capable of perceiving the environment and taking appropriate actions by gathering environmental information through sensors, processing it, and affecting the environment through actuators (Stuart Russell & Peter Norvig, 2020). We view an AI Agent as an assistant that integrates LLM (Large Language Models), RAG, memory, task planning, and tool usage. It not only provides information but also plans, breaks down tasks, and actually executes them.
Based on this definition and characteristics, we can see that AI Agents have already integrated into our daily lives and are applied in various scenarios. For example, AlphaGo, Siri, and Tesla’s Level 5 and above autonomous driving can all be considered examples of AI Agents. The common trait among these systems is their ability to perceive external user inputs and make decisions that affect the real world based on those inputs.
To clarify concepts using ChatGPT as an example, it is important to distinguish that Transformer is the technical architecture that forms the foundation of AI models, while GPT refers to the series of models developed based on this architecture. GPT-1, GPT-4, and GPT-4o represent different stages of model development. ChatGPT, as an evolution based on the GPT model, can be considered an AI Agent.
Classification Overview
Currently, there is no unified classification standard for AI Agents in the market. By tagging 204 AI Agent projects across Web2 and Web3 markets based on their prominent features, we created both primary and secondary classifications. The primary classifications include infrastructure, content generation, and user interaction, which are then further divided based on actual use cases:
According to our research, the development of AI Agents in the traditional Web2 internet shows a clear concentration in specific sectors. About two-thirds of the projects are focused on infrastructure, particularly in B2B services and developer tools. We analyzed this phenomenon and identified several key factors:
Impact of Technology Maturity: The dominance of infrastructure projects is largely due to the maturity of the underlying technologies. These projects are often built on well-established technologies and frameworks, reducing the difficulty and risk of development. They serve as the “shovels” in the AI field, providing a solid foundation for AI Agent development and application.
Market Demand: Another key factor is market demand. Compared to the consumer market, the enterprise market has a more urgent need for AI technology, especially for solutions aimed at improving operational efficiency and reducing costs. For developers, the stable cash flow from enterprise customers makes it easier to develop subsequent projects.
Application Limitations: At the same time, we noticed that content generation AI has limited application scenarios in the B2B market. Due to the instability of its output, businesses tend to prefer applications that reliably boost productivity, which is why content generation AI occupies a smaller portion of the project landscape.
This trend reflects the practical considerations of technology maturity, market demand, and application scenarios. As AI technology continues to advance and market demands become clearer, we expect this landscape to shift, but infrastructure will likely remain a cornerstone of AI Agent development.
Compilation of Web2’s AI Agent leading projects, source: ArkStream project database
We analyzed some of the leading AI Agent projects in the Web2 market, sourced from the ArkStream project database. Using Character AI, Perplexity AI, and Midjourney as examples, we delve into their details.
Character AI:
Perplexity AI:
Midjourney:
After experiencing several Web2 AI Agents, we observed a common product iteration path: from initially focusing on single, specific tasks to later expanding their capabilities to handle more complex, multi-task scenarios. This trend highlights the potential of AI Agents in improving efficiency and innovation, indicating that they will play a more critical role in the future. Based on preliminary statistics of 125 AI Agent projects in Web2, we found that most projects are concentrated in content generation (e.g., Jasper AI), developer tools (e.g., Replit), and B2B services (e.g., Cresta), the largest category. This finding was contrary to our expectations, as we initially predicted that with the increasing maturity of AI model technology, the consumer market (C-end) would experience an explosive growth of AI Agents. However, after further analysis, we realized that the commercialization of consumer AI Agents is much more challenging and complex than expected.
Take Character.AI as an example. On one hand, Character.AI has some of the best traffic performance. However, due to its singular business model—relying on a $9.9 USD subscription fee—it struggled with limited subscription revenue and high inference costs for heavy users, eventually leading to its acquisition by Google due to difficulties in monetizing traffic and maintaining cash flow. This case shows that even with excellent traffic and funding, C-end AI Agent applications face significant commercialization challenges. Most products have not yet reached the standard where they can replace or effectively assist humans, resulting in low user willingness to pay. In our research, we found that many startups encounter similar problems as Character.AI, indicating that the development of consumer AI Agents is not smooth and requires deeper exploration of technical maturity, product value, and business model innovation to unlock their potential in the C-end market.
By counting the valuations of most AI Agent projects, compared with the valuations of ceiling projects such as OpenAI and xAI, there is still room for close to 10-50 times.It is undeniable that the ceiling of C-side Agent application is still high enough, proving that it is still a good track. However, based on the above analysis, we believe that compared with the C-side, the B-side market may be the final destination of AI Agent. By building a platform, enterprises integrate AI Agent into management software such as vertical fields, CRM, and office OA. This not only improves operational efficiency for enterprises, but also provides AI Agent with a broader application space. Therefore, we have reason to believe that B-side services will be the main direction of the short-term development of AI Agents in the Web2 traditional Internet.
Project overview
As analyzed earlier, even AI Agent applications with top-tier funding and good user traffic face difficulties in commercialization. Next, we will analyze the current development of AI Agent projects in Web3. By evaluating a series of representative projects—their technical innovations, market performance, user feedback, and growth potential—we aim to uncover insightful suggestions. The chart below shows several representative projects that have already issued tokens and hold a relatively high market value:
Compilation of Web2’s AI Agent leading projects, source: ArkStream project database
According to our statistics on the Web3 AI Agent market, the types of projects being developed also show a clear concentration in specific sectors. Most projects fall under infrastructure, with fewer content generation projects. Many of these projects aim to leverage user-provided distributed data and computing power to meet the model training needs of the project owners or to create all-in-one platforms that integrate various AI Agent services and tools. From developer tools to front-end interaction applications and generative applications, most traditional AI Agent industries are currently limited to open-source parameter adjustments or building applications using existing models. This method has not yet generated significant network effects for enterprises or individual users.
We believe that this phenomenon at this stage may be driven by the following factors:
Market and Technology Mismatch: The combination of Web3 and AI Agents does not currently show a significant advantage over traditional markets. The true advantage lies in improving production relationships by optimizing resources and collaboration through decentralization. This may cause interaction and generative applications to struggle to compete with traditional competitors with stronger technical and financial resources.
Application Scenario Limitations: In the Web3 environment, there may not be as much demand for generating images, videos, or text content. Instead, Web3’s decentralized and distributed features are more often used to reduce costs and improve efficiency within the traditional AI field, rather than to expand into new application scenarios.
The root cause of this phenomenon may lie in the current development state of the AI industry and its future direction. AI technology is still in its early stages, akin to the early days of the industrial revolution when steam engines were replaced by electric motors. It has not yet reached the electrification stage of widespread application.
We believe that the future of AI will likely follow a similar path. General models will gradually become standardized, while fine-tuned models will see diversified development. AI applications will be widely dispersed across enterprises and individual users, with the focus shifting to interconnection and interaction between models. This trend aligns closely with Web3’s principles, as Web3 is known for its composability and permissionless nature, which fits well with the idea of decentralized fine-tuning of models. Developers will have greater freedom to combine and adjust various models. Additionally, decentralization offers unique advantages in areas such as data privacy protection and computing resource allocation for model training.
With technological advancements, especially the emergence of innovations like LoRA (Low-Rank Adaptation), the cost and technical barriers for model fine-tuning have been significantly lowered. This makes it easier to develop public models for specific scenarios or to meet users’ personalized needs. AI Agent projects within Web3 can fully leverage these advancements to explore novel training methods, innovative incentive mechanisms, and new models of model sharing and collaboration, which are often difficult to achieve in traditional centralized systems.
Moreover, the concentration of Web3 projects on model training reflects strategic considerations of its importance within the entire AI ecosystem. Thus, the focus of Web3 AI Agent projects on model training is a natural convergence of technology trends, market demand, and Web3 industry advantages. Next, we will provide examples of model training projects in both Web2 and Web3 industries and make comparisons.
Humans.ai
FLock.io
These are examples of model training projects within the Web3 AI Agent space, but similar platforms also exist in Web2, such as Predibase.
Predibase
For beginners, the platform’s one-click automation simplifies the model-building and training process, automatically handling complex tasks. For experienced users, it provides deeper customization options, including access to and adjustment of more advanced parameters. When comparing traditional AI model training platforms with Web3 AI projects, while their overall frameworks and logic may be similar, we found significant differences in their technical architecture and business models.
These differences have become bottlenecks in the traditional AI industry. Due to the nature of the internet, these issues are difficult to solve efficiently. At the same time, this presents both opportunities and challenges for Web3, where projects that can solve these problems first will likely become pioneers in the industry.
After discussing AI Agent projects focused on model training, we now expand our view to other types of AI Agent projects in the Web3 industry. These projects, while not exclusively focused on model training, demonstrate distinctive performance in terms of funding, token valuation, and market presence. Below are some representative and influential AI Agent projects in their respective fields:
Myshell
Delysium
Sleepless AI
In the Web3 industry, AI Agent projects cover multiple directions including public chains, data management, privacy protection, social networks, platform services, and computing power. In terms of token market value, the total token market value of AI Agent projects has reached nearly $3.8 billion, while the total market value of the entire AI track is close to $16.2 billion. AI Agent projects account for about 23% of the market value in the AI track.
Although there are only about a dozen AI Agent projects, which seems relatively few compared to the entire AI track, their market valuation accounts for nearly a quarter. This market value proportion in the AI track once again validates our belief that this sub-track has great growth potential.
After our analysis, we raised a core question: What characteristics do Agent projects need to attract excellent financing and be listed on top exchanges? To answer this question, we explored successful projects in the Agent industry, such as Fetch.ai, Olas Network, SingularityNET, and Myshell.
We found that these projects share some significant features: they all belong to the platform aggregation category within the infrastructure class. They build a bridge, connecting users who need Agents on one end (both B2B and B2C), and developers and validators responsible for model debugging and training on the other end. Regardless of the application level, they have all established a complete ecological closed loop.
We noticed that whether their products are on-chain or off-chain related doesn’t seem to be the most crucial factor. This leads us to a preliminary conclusion: in the Web3 domain, the logic of focusing on practical applications in Web2 may not fully apply. For leading AI Agent products in Web3, building a complete ecosystem and providing diverse functionalities might be more critical than the quality and performance of a single product. In other words, a project’s success depends not only on what it offers but more on how it integrates resources, promotes collaboration, and creates network effects within the ecosystem. This ability to build ecosystems might be a key factor for AI Agent projects to stand out in the Web3 track.
The correct integration method for AI Agent projects in Web3 is not to focus on the deep development of a single application, but to adopt an inclusive model. This approach involves migrating and integrating diverse product frameworks and types from the Web2 era into the Web3 environment to build a self-cycling ecosystem. This point can also be seen in OpenAI’s strategic shift, as they chose to launch an application platform this year rather than just updating their model.
In summary, we believe that the AI Agent project should focus on the following aspects:
After summarizing these three aspects, we also provide some forward-looking suggestions for project teams with different focus directions: one for non-AI core application products, and another for native projects focused on the AI Agent track.
For non-AI core application products:
Maintain a long-term perspective, focus on their core products while integrating AI technology, and wait for the right opportunity in line with the times. In the current technological and market trends, we believe that using AI as a traffic medium to attract users and enhance product competitiveness has become an important means of competitiveness. Although the actual long-term contribution of AI technology to project development remains a question mark, we believe this provides a valuable window for early adopters of AI technology. Of course, the premise is that they already have a very solid product.
In the long run, if AI technology achieves new breakthroughs in the future, those projects that have already integrated AI will be able to iterate their products more quickly, thus seizing opportunities and becoming industry leaders. This is similar to how live streaming e-commerce gradually replaced offline sales as a new traffic outlet on social media platforms in recent years. At that time, those merchants with solid products who chose to follow the new trend and try live streaming e-commerce immediately stood out with the advantage of early entry when live streaming e-commerce truly exploded.
We believe that amid market uncertainty, for non-AI core application products, considering the timely introduction of AI Agents may be a strategic decision. It can not only increase the product’s market exposure at present but also bring new growth points for the product in the continuous development of AI technology.
For native projects focused on AI Agents:
Balancing technological innovation and market demand is key to success. In native AI Agent projects, project teams need to look towards market trends, not just technology development. Currently, some Web3-integrated Agent projects in the market may be overly focused on developing in a single technical direction, or have constructed a grand vision, but product development has not kept up. Both of these extremes are not conducive to the long-term development of the project.
Therefore, we suggest that project teams, while ensuring product quality, should also pay attention to market dynamics, and realize that the AI application logic in the traditional internet industry may not apply to Web3. Instead, they need to learn from those projects that have already achieved results in the Web3 market. Focus on the labels they have, such as model training and platform aggregation core functions mentioned in the article, as well as the narratives they create, such as AI modularization and multi-Agent collaboration. Exploring compelling narratives may become the key for projects to achieve breakthroughs in the market.
Conclusion
Whether it is a non-AI core product or a native AI Agent project, the most critical thing is to find the right timing and technical path to ensure that it remains competitive and innovative in the ever-changing market. On the basis of maintaining product quality, project parties should observe market trends, learn from successful cases, and at the same time innovate to achieve sustainable development in the market.
At the end of the article, we analyze the Web3 AI Agent track from multiple angles:
To sum up, we are optimistic about the AI Agent track. We have reason to believe that multiple projects with valuations exceeding $1 billion will emerge in this track. Through horizontal comparison, the narrative of AI Agent is sufficiently compelling and the market space is large enough. The current market valuations are generally low. Considering the rapid development of AI technology, the growth of market demand, capital investment and the innovation potential of companies in the track, in the future, as technology matures and market acceptance increases, this track is expected to see multiple projects with valuations over $1 billion emerge.
This article is reproduced from [ArkStream Capital], the original title is “ArkStream Capital Track Research Report: Can AI Agent be a life-saving straw for Web3+AI?” If you have any objections to the reprint, please contact Gate Learn Team, the team will handle it as soon as possible according to relevant procedures.
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