Analyzing the CELO/USDT chart using Price Action

  1. Trend overview • Main trend: The price has dropped from the peak of 1,811 USDT and hit a bottom at 0.356 USDT before experiencing a recovery. Currently, the price is fluctuating at 0.679 USDT with a +6.43% increase. • The price shows signs of recovery but is experiencing resistance near the 0.8 USDT zone.
  2. Support and resistance • Important support: • 0.6 - 0.65 USDT: This is the nearest support zone. If the price holds this zone, the uptrend can be maintained. • 0.356 USDT: The nearest bottom and strong support if the price falls deeply. • Important resistance: • 0.8 - 0.85 USDT: This is the nearest resistance zone. The sellers are controlling this area. • 1.0 USDT: Stronger resistance, needs to be broken to confirm the medium-term uptrend.
  3. Price Action • Recent candlesticks: • The appearance of candles with small bodies and wicks, showing hesitation between the buying and selling sides. • The current price is fluctuating around the MA5 line (yellow line), indicating temporary balance. • Trading volume: • The decreasing volume in recent days indicates weak buying pressure.
  4. Technical Support Indicator • MA (Moving Averages): • MA5 (yellow line): The price is fluctuating below this line, showing signs of short-term weakness. • MA10 (purple line): The price is still above this line, the medium-term trend has not been broken. • MACD: • The MACD Histogram is small and located near 0, indicating that the market is not clear about the trend. • DIF (0.027) is above DEA (0.025), buying pressure is still dominant but not strong. •RSI: • RSI(6): 44.35, RSI(12): 48.68, RSI(24): 49.34 => All indicators are below 50, indicating a neutral market and slightly more selling pressure. •OBV: • OBV maintains stability, indicating that there is no significant change in the money flow.
  5. Scenario according to Price Action Scenario 1: The price continues to rise • If the price surpasses the resistance zone of 0.8 USDT with a strong bullish candle and high volume, the uptrend may be confirmed. • Target: Zone 1.0 USDT. Scenario 2: Price Breaks Support and Declines • If the price drops below the support level of 0.6 USDT, the downward trend may resume. • Target: Zone 0.5 - 0.4 USDT. Scenario 3: Accumulation • The price may continue to fluctuate in the range of 0.6 - 0.8 USDT to create a consolidation zone before identifying the next trend.
  6. Trading strategy • Buy (Long): • When the price crosses the 0.8 USDT zone with a clear signal (strong bullish candlestick with large volume). • Sell (Short): • When the price breaks the support zone of 0.6 USDT with high volume. • Wait: If the price continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, it is necessary to wait for a clear breakout signal before entering. Conclusion: Currently, the CELO/USDT price is fluctuating in the accumulation zone with slightly more selling pressure. The market needs to clearly break one of the support or resistance levels to determine the next trend. Monitor price action and trading volume at key levels for accurate decision-making.
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