What changes will the world face after the fall of the Syrian Assad regime? Observing the demand for BTC hedging.

Syrian rebels launched a lightning offensive, leading to the collapse of the Assad regime that has ruled Syria for over 50 years. President Assad fled to Russia. Analysts believe that the sudden collapse of the Syrian regime will have a significant impact not only on Syria but also on the global situation. (Background: Just as the ceasefire protocol took effect and 'Israel bombed Lebanon again,' will there be a resurgence in demand for BTC and gold as safe havens?) (Additional context: Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire protocol! Both gold and BTC plummeted. Has the safe-haven market come to an end?) The Sham Liberation Organization (HTS) launched a lightning offensive at the end of November, and on the 8th, they entered the capital, Damascus, declaring the collapse of the Assad regime that had ruled Syria for over 50 years. The Russian Foreign Ministry stated that President Assad had resigned and left the country, while Russian media reported that Assad and his family had arrived in Russia and been granted asylum. What will happen to Syria after the collapse of Assad? BBC analysis indicates that the collapse of the Assad regime marks the subversion of the old order in the Middle East. The situation in Syria affects the entire region and may have global implications. The evolution of the Syrian civil war over the past 14 years has turned it into a small-scale world war involving external powers such as Russia, Turkey, the United States, and Iran. The future challenge lies in how to end this conflict, avoid retaliatory actions, and initiate an inclusive political process to prevent long-term chaos. The most ideal scenario is for the Syrian opposition to avoid retaliatory actions, restore law and order, and initiate a political process in which all Syrians can participate. The worst-case scenario is that Syria may follow the path of Iraq after Saddam Hussein's downfall and Libya after Gaddafi's downfall, plunging into years of turmoil. The New York Times believes that the biggest current problem is how the rebels can quickly stabilize the capital, avoid a power vacuum, ensure a smooth transition of power, and rapidly expand their control to the entire country, which is crucial for restoring stability. After overthrowing the Assad regime, whether the rebel alliance can maintain unity remains uncertain. In addition, it is unclear how the new government will balance the interests of different factions and effectively manage the transition process, which will determine whether Syria's future can avoid chaos or, like Iraq, quickly dispel the optimistic expectations of the people for a peaceful democratic transition. Will Iran make nuclear weapons? According to Barron's analysis, the collapse of the Assad regime after more than 10 years of civil war is unlikely to have an immediate impact on the global market, as its economy has been weakened by conflict and Western sanctions. The country is also not a major oil-producing nation. However, the collapse of the Assad regime, as an ally of Russia and Iran, may affect at least three complex global situations. First, the collapse of the Syrian regime may impact its alliance with Russia and lead to a chain reaction in the Russia-Ukraine war. Russia intervened in the Syrian civil war in 2015 and currently has a naval facility along the coast of the Mediterranean Sea in Syria, and its fate remains uncertain. Second, Iran losing regional allies is becoming increasingly isolated. Hezbollah in Lebanon represented Iran in the Syrian war, but recent Israeli offensives have destroyed Hezbollah, increasing pressure on Iran and possibly forcing Supreme Leader Khamenei to admit isolation and attempt to reach a protocol with the United States and other countries, but it may also be a last-ditch effort to make nuclear weapons. Third, the Syrian civil war has forced over 5 million people to become refugees, leaving the country. This population movement has disrupted regional politics. This year, international oil prices have been on a downward trend, but if Syria restricts supply due to conflict, it may reverse the trend and push up global energy prices again. Will the demand for gold as a safe haven rise? Some analysts believe that the geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the collapse of the Syrian regime may prompt some investors to put their money into safe-haven assets such as gold. Nicky Shiels, research and metals strategy director at MKS PAMP, also wrote in X, 'Signs of escalating Middle East tensions should allow gold prices to regain buying interest, breaking out of the recent compressed range... If geopolitical tensions really escalate, will BTC show a safe-haven demand similar to gold, which is also worth our continued observation.' Related reports: Hezbollah fired hundreds of 'heavy rockets' in retaliation for Israeli airstrikes, pushing gold up to 2,721 pounds. Israel 'bombed a municipal building in Lebanon,' killing the mayor and 16 others! It is rumored that the Israeli military will soon retaliate against Iran, posing a risk to oil and nuclear facilities. Hezbollah's rockets broke through the 'Iron Dome' missile defense system! The third-largest city in Israel was attacked, with at least 10 people injured. This article was first published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain news media, by the BlockTempo team, titled 'What changes will the collapse of the Syrian Assad regime bring to the global situation? Observing the demand for BTC as a safe haven.'