Greeks.live: Next week, the expectation of a Fed rate cut gradually converges, and the market theme in September is still oscillation.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Adam, a researcher at Greeks.live, stated in a post on X platform that as this week is about to end smoothly, the US presidential debate and macroeconomic data have not brought significant fluctuations. The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates next week, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut from the Intrerest Rate trading data provided by CME is 87%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is only 13%. Meanwhile, in terms of Options data, it can be seen that the IV of major maturities has decreased significantly, and the market's expectation of fluctuations has fallen through. The market theme for September is still oscillation.